Occasional articles about what's coming in the next 12-24 months in health care IT.
Tuesday, January 5, 2016
Top Healthcare IT Predictions for 2016
Each new year starts with a flood of predictions, and it can be difficult to know which ones are truly prescient and which are just a lazy way to fill column space during the holidays. I had initially planned a project that would catalog as many 2016 predictions in the field of Healthcare IT as possible and track which came true throughout the year, but two major problems arose. First, there are simply too many predictions to track. Second, most of the predictions are subjective and untestable. The predictions are mostly about trends, not events. Even for those that contain quantified metrics (e.g., the wearables market will hit $6 billion), it can be difficult to determine whether the target was achieved.
I decided to address the first problem by choosing 10 publications from which to draw the lists of 2016 predictions. To solve the second problem, I've rolled up the predictions into a consensus. The next blog post will document the consensus predictions. I will explore each one in detail over the next several installments.
By the time I have explored each prediction, it will be deep enough into the year to ascertain how the predictions are tracking against reality. Because the predictions are imprecise, my analysis will be qualitative rather than a yes/no on whether each one came true.
The predictions come from the following 10 sources:
7. MDDI: 5 Bold Predictions For Medtech in 2016MDDI serves the Medical Device and Diagnostic Industry, which might not be the best bellwether for the broader HIT industry. This set of predictions adds some richness to the overall data set.
All together, the 10 articles contain 81 distinct predictions. No two predictions were exactly the same, but many of them cover the same territory. My next post will highlight the common themes and create a list of consensus predictions for 2016.